As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. Hi everyone from D.C.! But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. List Of Blue States And Red States No. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. These are general election results for the years listed. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. Republican Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. You have entered an incorrect email address! The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. [41][note 1][42]. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". What are red and blue states? I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Red states vs. blue states. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". We identify swing states as. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. It is not a red state. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. But Pennsylvania is now red. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. #V. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. 4, another 2020 red state. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. More than a . Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. Next is Alabama at No. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). Thats a point that they made. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. It is not a red state. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. Use arrow keys to move around the map. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). We may not know results in PA fordays. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . It feels like the new Florida. How red or blue is your state? I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. Blue States No. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? Gov. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. What determines a state's "color"? .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. Not one! States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. So how does all that look visually? Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. because red and blue state designations . Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. But. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. These are general election results for the years listed. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. State voted with the overall winning candidate. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. These are general election results for the years listed. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea).